2015 Season results for Los Alamos (BV,2-5A)

11   3   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1257     180
Strength     Momentum
1208   62.0(6)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   5L   2T 
District  5W   0L   1T 
Expected  13:   5+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 at Bosque 0.0031317T 2- 2 Better (+1)1297 39%
08/28/15 Clovis 0.0061176W 2- 1 Expected (0)1257 63%
08/29/15 Bosque 0.0071317W 2- 1 Better (+1)1328 44%
08/29/15 Goddard 0.007857W 2- 1 Expected (-3)1098 89%
09/02/15 St. Michael's 0.012870W 3- 0 Expected (-1)1205 89%
09/04/15 at St. Pius ?? 0.0181010L 0- 2 Worse (-4)1043 77%
09/10/15 at Cleveland !! 0.0461414W 1- 0 Better (+3)1395 29%
09/11/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.0511387L 0- 2 Expected (-1)1231 31%
09/12/15 at Capital 0.0601241W 1- 0 Better (+1)1308 49%
09/15/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.0401387L 0- 6 Expected (-5)1027 31%
09/17/15 Rio Rancho 0.1011418L 0- 2 Expected (-1)1228 33%
09/22/15 at Capital 0.1911241W 2- 1 Better (+1)1308 49%
09/26/15 Taos ? 0.2541288L 1- 3 Expected (-2)1163 48%
09/30/15 at Santa Fe ! 0.3041162W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1369 61%
10/03/15 at Bernalillo 0.180898W 7- 1 Expected (+3)1391 85%
10/06/15 at Del Norte 0.372784W 4- 0 Expected (-1)1231 92%
10/10/15 Capital 0.7331241T 2- 2 Worse (0)1239 55%
10/17/15 at Piedra Vista 0.332799W 7- 1 Expected (+2)1342 91%
10/21/15 Bernalillo 0.091898W 10- 0 Expected (+6)1588 88%
10/24/15 at Del Norte 0.619784W 4- 0 Expected (-1)1231 92%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Alamos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1208, while
Los Alamos's "weighted playing strength" is 1273
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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