11 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1257 180 Strength Momentum |
1208 62.0(6) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Bosque | 0.003 | 1317 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 1297 | 39% | |
08/28/15 | Clovis | 0.006 | 1176 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1257 | 63% | |
08/29/15 | Bosque | 0.007 | 1317 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1328 | 44% | |
08/29/15 | Goddard | 0.007 | 857 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1098 | 89% | |
09/02/15 | St. Michael's | 0.012 | 870 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1205 | 89% | |
09/04/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.018 | 1010 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1043 | 77% | |
09/10/15 | at Cleveland !! | 0.046 | 1414 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1395 | 29% | |
09/11/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.051 | 1387 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1231 | 31% | |
09/12/15 | at Capital | 0.060 | 1241 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1308 | 49% | |
09/15/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.040 | 1387 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-5) | 1027 | 31% | |
09/17/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.101 | 1418 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1228 | 33% | |
09/22/15 | at Capital | 0.191 | 1241 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1308 | 49% | |
09/26/15 | Taos ? | 0.254 | 1288 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1163 | 48% | |
09/30/15 | at Santa Fe ! | 0.304 | 1162 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1369 | 61% | |
10/03/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.180 | 898 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1391 | 85% | |
10/06/15 | at Del Norte | 0.372 | 784 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1231 | 92% | |
10/10/15 | Capital | 0.733 | 1241 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1239 | 55% | |
10/17/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.332 | 799 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1342 | 91% | |
10/21/15 | Bernalillo | 0.091 | 898 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1588 | 88% | |
10/24/15 | at Del Norte | 0.619 | 784 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1231 | 92% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Alamos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1208, while
Los Alamos's "weighted playing strength" is 1273
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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